Lmar Kojani December 5, 2024
So, President-elect Donald Trump recently decided to go all-in on the global economic poker table, threatening to slap 100% tariffs on the BRICS nations if they dare mess with the U.S. dollar. That’s right—Trump took to Truth Social (because, of course) to essentially say, "You come for the dollar, you deal with me." Let’s break this down in a way that’s as bold and colorful as the man himself.
Here’s the deal: BRICS (Brazil, Russia, India, China, South Africa, plus a few new members) have been flirting with the idea of creating their own currency to reduce their reliance on the dollar. Why? Because, according to Russia's President Vladimir Putin, the dollar is being used as a "weapon." Putin must have missed the memo that money has always been a weapon—ask anyone who’s tried to pay rent in Los Angeles.
The BRICS nations make up 40% of the world’s population and about 25% of global GDP. They’ve been toying with the idea of a new currency for years, but so far, it’s just that—talk. However, Trump isn’t here for idle chatter. The moment whispers of a BRICS currency got louder, he fired off a tariff threat faster than he launches a golf ball off the tee.
On November 30, Trump threw down the gauntlet:
“We require a commitment from these Countries that they will neither create a new BRICS Currency, nor back any other Currency to replace the mighty U.S. Dollar or, they will face 100% Tariffs…”
Translation: “Play nice with the dollar, or kiss your exports to the U.S. goodbye.” This includes everything from Brazilian coffee to Chinese electronics, Indian textiles, and South African minerals.
But what does this tariff threat actually mean? Is it genius-level negotiating or just another episode of The Art of the Tariff Deal? Let’s find out.
Spoiler alert: Not anytime soon. Here’s why:
It’s like BRICS is a band where everyone wants to be the lead singer, but no one can agree on the setlist. Sure, they can talk about recording an album, but don’t expect to see it on Spotify anytime soon.
If Trump follows through with his threat, here’s how it could play out:
A 100% tariff would cost BRICS nations 10-15% of their GDP, which is like losing your biggest client overnight.
Critics argue this move makes the U.S. look scared of competition. Instead of projecting confidence in the dollar, it might actually encourage countries to diversify away from it. Oops.
Let’s be real: The BRICS nations don’t always get along. China and India have border disputes, Russia is busy with its geopolitical drama, and South Africa is over here saying, “Wait, what currency?” The group is like a dysfunctional family at Thanksgiving—united in complaining about the turkey (a.k.a. the dollar), but fighting over everything else.
Trump’s tariff threat is classic Trump: big, bold, and headline-grabbing. He’s aiming to protect the dollar’s dominance while flexing America’s economic muscles. But here’s the catch:
BRICS creating their own currency is more of a pipe dream than a real threat—for now. Trump’s tariff threats might slow them down, but it could also spark unintended consequences, like pushing more countries to explore alternatives to the dollar.
So, could BRICS pull this off? Not likely anytime soon. But Trump’s reaction has definitely added some drama to the global stage. For now, the dollar remains king, but the world is watching closely.
The global drama surrounding BRICS’ potential new currency and President-elect Trump’s fiery 100% tariff threats may feel like issues for Wall Street and foreign diplomats, but they could hit home in a very real way. California’s real estate market, from existing housing to new construction, could see ripple effects. Let’s explore how this geopolitical chess match could play out on California’s turf.
California’s builders rely heavily on imports from BRICS nations:
A 100% tariff would double these costs. Builders would either pass the costs onto buyers or halt projects entirely. So, your dream home? It might come with a nightmare price tag.
Inflation fueled by tariffs would likely push the Federal Reserve to raise interest rates.
For buyers, this means higher monthly payments—enough to price many out of California’s already steep market. Sellers would feel the pinch too, as fewer buyers mean less demand.
California desperately needs affordable housing, but rising costs could derail those plans.
California’s construction industry relies on immigrant workers, many of whom come from BRICS nations or neighboring countries affected by U.S. trade policies. Stricter trade and immigration rules could worsen labor shortages, delaying projects and driving up wages.
One silver lining? Global instability often pushes wealthy investors to park their money in U.S. assets. California’s luxury market—think Beverly Hills, Malibu, and San Francisco—might see increased demand from international buyers looking for a safe haven.
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